Lead briefing

Structural shifts in global grain trade: The long-term trends behind the decline in the US export share

Global grain trade is undergoing a structural transformation. According to data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, between 2000 and 2025, global production of soybeans, corn, and wheat increased from 58 billion bushels to 91 billion bushels, while the U.S. export share fell from 47% to 22%. The main drivers include technological catch-up and market expansion in countries such as Brazil, shifts in global population and economic patterns, and evolving consumption preferences. The U.S. agricultural system is adapting to this new normal by opening up new markets and developing domestic demand for biofuels.

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Field intelligence

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AgriTech

AI and IoT drive accelerated growth in the smart agriculture market, with the market size expected to reach $81.49 billion by 2035.

According to the latest report from Precedence Research, the global smart agriculture market is expected to grow from $29.48 billion in 2026 to $81.49 billion by 2035, at a compound annual growth rate of 11.99%. AI, the Internet of Things, and precision agriculture technologies are reshaping global agricultural production methods.

David Stewart3 min read

Soil and climate systems

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Commodity corridor

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Risk ledger

Food security, inputs and supply shocks

Briefing desk

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